Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ABFFC88006260951132
ABFFC88006260951132
midtail
3P
SANTE - HYGIENE
Last 4 weeks demand
39
▼ 38.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
54
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 77
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-29
ABFFC88006260951132
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 303 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ABFFC88006260951132 · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 39 units, trending down -38.1% · on-hand 75 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (98 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.72 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 39 units · prev 4w = 63 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 100.3 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 10.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 36.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 302.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 12.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 23.4K |