Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ABFD36702191014345
Friteuse Air Fryer 5 L – 1500 W – AF0625A – MGS
midtail
1P
PETIT APPAREIL DE CUISSON
Last 4 weeks demand
17
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
133
≈ 16.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 388
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
ABFD36702191014345
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 302 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Friteuse Air Fryer 5 L – 1500 W – AF0625A – MGS · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 17 units, stable demand · on-hand 133 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (98 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.54 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 17 units · prev 4w = 17 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 5.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 27.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 84.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 14.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 88.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 302.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 117.3K |