Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ABFD36702191014345
Friteuse Air Fryer 5 L – 1500 W – AF0625A – MGS
hero
3P
PETIT APPAREIL DE CUISSON
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
107
▲ 35.4% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
6
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 267
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-29
ABFD36702191014345
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 1068 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Friteuse Air Fryer 5 L – 1500 W – AF0625A – MGS · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 107 units, trending up +35.4% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (224 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.20 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 107 units · prev 4w = 79 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 10.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 324.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 27.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 21.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 95.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 1068.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 18.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 284.9K |