Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ABFB8992312110081520
Vichy Dercos Energy+ Shampoing Stimulant Anti-Chute 400 ml – Fortifiant et Revitalisant
longtail
3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 42.9% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
17
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 223
avg of last 23 sells · latest 2026-05-04
ABFB8992312110081520
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 63 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Vichy Dercos Energy+ Shampoing Stimulant Anti-Chute 400 ml – Fortifiant et Revitalisant · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -42.9% · on-hand 17 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (231 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.47 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 18.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 18.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 62.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 14.0K |