Demand Forecast

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The Ordinary Niacinamide 10% + Zinc 1% Sérum Anti-Imperfections - 30 ML
SKU · ABFB81111130642706

The Ordinary Niacinamide 10% + Zinc 1% Sérum Anti-Imperfections - 30 ML

midtail 3P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

15
▲ 87.5% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

3
≈ 0.7 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 189
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03

ABFB81111130642706

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 118 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

The Ordinary Niacinamide 10% + Zinc 1% Sérum Anti-Imperfections - 30 ML · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 15 units, trending up +87.5% · on-hand 3 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (175 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.64 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 15 units · prev 4w = 8 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week3.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks16.8 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months45.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week8.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)36.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)118.4 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)—
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 22.4K