Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ABF492002121221915
GLOSS EXTREME SHINE VOLUME 16 Nude Sorbet ESSENCE
midtail
3P
MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 40.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 26
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-23
ABF492002121221915
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 112 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
GLOSS EXTREME SHINE VOLUME 16 Nude Sorbet ESSENCE · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -40.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (119 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.69 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 12.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 38.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 111.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.9K |