Demand Forecast

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Anua Niacinamide 10% + TXA 4% Dark Spot Correcting Serum
SKU · ABEF765304240628466

Anua Niacinamide 10% + TXA 4% Dark Spot Correcting Serum

longtail 3P CORPS ET VISAGE OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

2
▼ 60.0% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

0
no live offers

1P stock

0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot

Unit price

MAD 250
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-21

ABEF765304240628466

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 70 units.
Actual Realistic forecast (p50) Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Anua Niacinamide 10% + TXA 4% Dark Spot Correcting Serum · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -60.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (154 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.64 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 5 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week0.6 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks2.4 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months16.2 units
Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks
the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4		7.0 units
Optimistic — next week6.2 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)27.9 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)69.8 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)—
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 17.5K