Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ABE5C36204071120579-0003
ABE5C36204071120579-0003
longtail
1P
BASKET - SPORTSWEAR
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▲ 200.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 375
avg of last 10 sells · latest 2026-09-26
ABE5C36204071120579-0003
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 38 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ABE5C36204071120579-0003 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending up +200.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (133 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.37 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 1.6 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 3.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 25.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 37.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 14.2K |