Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ABE359912110031555
Créatine Monohydrate 500mg 240 Gélules
longtail
3P
NUTRITION SPORTIVE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▲ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
85
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-14 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 158
avg of last 28 sells · latest 2026-09-29
ABE359912110031555
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-12 · Total forecast: 44 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Créatine Monohydrate 500mg 240 Gélules · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending up +50.0% · on-hand 85 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (343 days of history, 30 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.49 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 1.8 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 5.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 14.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 43.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.9K |