Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ABE351312100203664
Shampooing Anti-Pelliculaire 240ml
midtail
3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▼ 30.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
96
≈ 32.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 106
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
ABE351312100203664
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 135 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Shampooing Anti-Pelliculaire 240ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending down -30.0% · on-hand 96 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (189 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.95 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 10 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 12.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 40.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 8.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 38.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 134.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 14.3K |