Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ABE351112150834498
PACK 2 x boites de PROPOLIS VITAPLUS 60 Comprimés 250mg
longtail
3P
COMPLEMENTS ALIMENTAIRES - THE INFUSION
Last 4 weeks demand
17
▲ 54.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
47
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-14 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 181
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-10
ABE351112150834498
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 78 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
PACK 2 x boites de PROPOLIS VITAPLUS 60 Comprimés 250mg · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 17 units, trending up +54.5% · on-hand 49 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (287 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.61 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 17 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 9.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 18.6 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 13.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 25.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 78.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 14.2K |