Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ABE28991112910091347
Capila Duo Pack Anti-Chute – Shampooing 200ml + Lotion 125ml + Sérum 30ml
midtail
3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▼ 38.9% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
380
≈ 76.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 215
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
ABE28991112910091347
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 138 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Capila Duo Pack Anti-Chute – Shampooing 200ml + Lotion 125ml + Sérum 30ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending down -38.9% · on-hand 380 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (210 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.85 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 18 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 17.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 46.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 9.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 46.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 138.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 29.8K |