Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ABE2899092910091339
Phormax Pigment Clair Anti-Taches – 60 Gélules
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 83.3% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
74
≈ 15.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 180
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03
ABE2899092910091339
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 121 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Phormax Pigment Clair Anti-Taches – 60 Gélules · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -83.3% · on-hand 74 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (217 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.03 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 31.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 30.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 121.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 21.8K |