Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ABAE815006190458251
ABAE815006190458251
midtail
3P
MEDICAMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▲ 10.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
3
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-14 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 242
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-12
ABAE815006190458251
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 104 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ABAE815006190458251 · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending up +10.0% · on-hand 3 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (112 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.48 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 10 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 12.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 36.4 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 17.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 27.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 103.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 25.1K |