Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ABAE806006220538750
ABAE806006220538750
longtail
3P
MEDICAMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
4
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
30
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-11-03
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-11-03 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 324
avg of last 5 sells · latest 2026-10-13
ABAE806006220538750
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-26 · Total forecast: 77 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ABAE806006220538750 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 30 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (91 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.35 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 4.6 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 3.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 11.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 77.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 25.0K |