Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ABA1D8901610071851
LOO LOO - Gel liniment aux herbes Formule non collante et non grasse Gel de massage Soulagement de la douleur - 40 g
longtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▲ 1200.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
15
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-14 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 19
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-11
ABA1D8901610071851
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 55 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
LOO LOO - Gel liniment aux herbes Formule non collante et non grasse Gel de massage Soulagement de la douleur - 40 g · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending up +1200.0% · on-hand 15 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (329 days of history, 58 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.99 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 15.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 8.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 14.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 55.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.1K |