Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AB9A69963110095738
Tapis Bas de Porte et Fenêtre – Double Isolation Contre Froid, Poussière et Insectes (Couleur Aléatoire)
midtail
3P
DECORATION DU SOL
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▼ 16.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
26
≈ 4.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 15
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AB9A69963110095738
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 277 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tapis Bas de Porte et Fenêtre – Double Isolation Contre Froid, Poussière et Insectes (Couleur Aléatoire) · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending down -16.7% · on-hand 26 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (196 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 5.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 23.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 75.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 16.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 74.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 276.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.2K |