Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AB9A66701060824823
10 pièces Supports de cadre photo adhésifs muraux sans perçage, Crochet mural sans couture, sans endommager le mur
longtail
3P
ACCESSOIRE DE CUISINE
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▲ 8.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
77
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 27
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-31
AB9A66701060824823
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 158 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
10 pièces Supports de cadre photo adhésifs muraux sans perçage, Crochet mural sans couture, sans endommager le mur · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending up +8.3% · on-hand 77 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (182 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.69 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 18.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 76.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 33.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 157.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.2K |