Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AB16306005251024433
AB16306005251024433
midtail
3P
TRAITEMENT DE L AIR
Last 4 weeks demand
20
▼ 9.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
2
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 156
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-17
AB16306005251024433
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 323 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
AB16306005251024433 · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 20 units, trending down -9.1% · on-hand 3 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (112 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.94 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 20 units · prev 4w = 22 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 9.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 39.6 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 19.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 12.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 83.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 322.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 50.3K |