Demand Forecast

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ROUGE A LEVRES GLOSSY GLAZE 01 ESSENCE
SKU · AB02A405902310115923

ROUGE A LEVRES GLOSSY GLAZE 01 ESSENCE

longtail 3P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

5
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

8
≈ 3.3 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 32
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

AB02A405902310115923

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 107 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

ROUGE A LEVRES GLOSSY GLAZE 01 ESSENCE · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 8 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (231 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.62 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 10 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.2 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks10.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months30.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week7.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)33.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)107.1 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.3
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.4K