Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AB0186811210906878
Poêle Tefal Natural On Lavinia 26 cm – Cuisson Saine & Performance Durable – G2800502
midtail
3P
CUISSON DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
35
▼ 65.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
32
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 115
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AB0186811210906878
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 391 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Poêle Tefal Natural On Lavinia 26 cm – Cuisson Saine & Performance Durable – G2800502 · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 35 units, trending down -65.0% · on-hand 45 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (245 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.25 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 35 units · prev 4w = 100 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 16.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 61.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 209.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 20.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 93.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 390.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 10.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 44.9K |