Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AB0183301070320962
Poêle Tefal 28cm - G2550672 - Noir
midtail
3P
CUISSON DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
34
▼ 42.4% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
6
≈ 0.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 174
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AB0183301070320962
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 315 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Poêle Tefal 28cm - G2550672 - Noir · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 34 units, trending down -42.4% · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (140 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.13 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 34 units · prev 4w = 59 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 5.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 26.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 82.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 18.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 97.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 315.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 54.7K |