Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AB0180301080951236
Friteuse Tefal Flex Dual Easy Fry 9 L – Noir (EY9228E0)
longtail
3P
PETIT APPAREIL DE CUISSON
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▲ 200.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
27
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-14 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 1.8K
avg of last 19 sells · latest 2026-10-11
AB0180301080951236
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-12 · Total forecast: 36 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Friteuse Tefal Flex Dual Easy Fry 9 L – Noir (EY9228E0) · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending up +200.0% · on-hand 17 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (259 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.55 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 0.1 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 1.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 12.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 35.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 65.5K |