Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AB0099992710012337
MAANGE : Lot 18 Pinceaux de Maquillage Synthétiques + Pochette Laser – Visage & Yeux – Couleur « Marron Café »
longtail
3P
MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 60.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P)
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 182
avg of last 18 sells · latest 2026-10-11
AB0099992710012337
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-12 · Total forecast: 47 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
MAANGE : Lot 18 Pinceaux de Maquillage Synthétiques + Pochette Laser – Visage & Yeux – Couleur « Marron Café » · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -60.0% · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (329 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.63 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 1.2 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 4.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 16.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 47.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.6K |