Demand Forecast

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MAGEFY™ Serum Lipgloss N101 – Brillance 3D, Hydratation Intense, Effet Miroir – Teinte Nude Clair N101
SKU · AB0099912160708586

MAGEFY™ Serum Lipgloss N101 – Brillance 3D, Hydratation Intense, Effet Miroir – Teinte Nude Clair N101

longtail 3P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▼ 20.0% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

4
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14

1P stock

0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-14 snapshot

Unit price

MAD 33
avg of last 20 sells · latest 2026-09-30

AB0099912160708586

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 54 units.
Actual Realistic forecast (p50) Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

MAGEFY™ Serum Lipgloss N101 – Brillance 3D, Hydratation Intense, Effet Miroir – Teinte Nude Clair N101 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -20.0% · on-hand 4 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (280 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.74 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 5 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week1.4 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks2.9 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months4.4 units
Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks
the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4		9.2 units
Optimistic — next week7.2 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)22.6 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)53.9 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.6
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 1.8K