Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AB0094311220717266
ZEBLAZE™ Ares 3 Plus – Montre Connectée Rugged 1.32” AMOLED, GPS Multi-Systèmes, 70+ Sports, Appels Bluetooth, Longue Autonomie
longtail
3P
MONTRE INTELLIGENTE - MONTRE CONNECTEE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 81.2% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 285
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-29
AB0094311220717266
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 68 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ZEBLAZE™ Ares 3 Plus – Montre Connectée Rugged 1.32” AMOLED, GPS Multi-Systèmes, 70+ Sports, Appels Bluetooth, Longue Autonomie · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -81.2% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (308 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.03 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 16 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 16.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 10.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 19.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 68.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 19.5K |