Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AB0090902101139883
Bonnet de nuit & douche en satin marron pour cheveux afro, bouclés, crépus & rasta – Anti-frisottis, maintien confortable
longtail
3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▼ 64.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
6
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 27
avg of last 28 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AB0090902101139883
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 69 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bonnet de nuit & douche en satin marron pour cheveux afro, bouclés, crépus & rasta – Anti-frisottis, maintien confortable · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -64.3% · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (112 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.66 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 14 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 21.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 19.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 69.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.9K |