Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AB0090701181147412
Porte-couteaux et porte-louches mural cuisine 50 cm – Support ustensiles sans perçage (spatule, écumoire, fouet, louche)
midtail
3P
ACCESSOIRE DE CUISINE
Last 4 weeks demand
16
▼ 61.9% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
50
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 50
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-27
AB0090701181147412
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 329 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Porte-couteaux et porte-louches mural cuisine 50 cm – Support ustensiles sans perçage (spatule, écumoire, fouet, louche) · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 16 units, trending down -61.9% · on-hand 49 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (245 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.14 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 16 units · prev 4w = 42 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 3.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 103.1 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 8.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 15.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 57.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 329.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 16.3K |