Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AB0090012170342040
Bouchon Attrape-Cheveux en Silicone – Filtre Anti-Colmatage Douche & Évier – Couleur Aléatoire
midtail
3P
ACCESSOIRE SALLE DE BAIN
Last 4 weeks demand
23
▲ 53.3% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
62
≈ 11.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 13
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AB0090012170342040
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 160 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bouchon Attrape-Cheveux en Silicone – Filtre Anti-Colmatage Douche & Évier – Couleur Aléatoire · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 23 units, trending up +53.3% · on-hand 62 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (154 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.15 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 23 units · prev 4w = 15 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 13.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 42.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 10.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 51.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 159.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.1K |