Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AB0090011090540470
Tasse à café en verre double paroi 150 ml – Isotherme borosilicate transparente, résistante à la chaleur
midtail
3P
SERVICE PETIT DEJEUNER
Last 4 weeks demand
20
▼ 33.3% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
42
≈ 10.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 22
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AB0090011090540470
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 167 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tasse à café en verre double paroi 150 ml – Isotherme borosilicate transparente, résistante à la chaleur · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 20 units, trending down -33.3% · on-hand 42 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (175 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.67 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 20 units · prev 4w = 30 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 6.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 24.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 56.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 15.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 63.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 167.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.7K |