Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAF8F651711261054407
Revuele – Ceramide – Crème Hydratante Contour des Yeux 25 ml
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
42
▲ 281.8% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
6
≈ 0.9 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 30
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAF8F651711261054407
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 292 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Revuele – Ceramide – Crème Hydratante Contour des Yeux 25 ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 42 units, trending up +281.8% · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (189 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.86 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 42 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 8.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 30.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 97.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 17.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 89.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 292.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.7K |