Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAF8F50111261054232
Revuele – RETINOL FORTE Hands & Nails Repairing Cream, 100ml
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
15
▼ 46.4% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
23
≈ 3.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 25
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AAF8F50111261054232
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 281 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Revuele – RETINOL FORTE Hands & Nails Repairing Cream, 100ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 15 units, trending down -46.4% · on-hand 23 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (189 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.82 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 15 units · prev 4w = 28 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 19.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 67.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 14.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 78.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 280.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.1K |