Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAF7F36602020328060
Boite en verre hermétique 650 ml avec couvercle
longtail
3P
REPAS NOMADE
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▲ 62.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
2
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 25
avg of last 18 sells · latest 2026-04-29
AAF7F36602020328060
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 126 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boite en verre hermétique 650 ml avec couvercle · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending up +62.5% · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (119 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.78 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 11.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 35.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 35.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 126.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.2K |