Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAF5499512080403927
Chaise Marbella Maroc - pliable - Rouge
longtail
3P
SIEGE - ASSISE
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▼ 23.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
191
Σ Stock across 3 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 79
avg of last 18 sells · latest 2026-04-29
AAF5499512080403927
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 132 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Chaise Marbella Maroc - pliable - Rouge · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending down -23.1% · on-hand 191 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (182 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.83 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 13 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 10.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 38.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 33.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 132.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 10.4K |