Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAF546511280159427
Mug en porcelaine émaillée DIMA MAGHREB Supporters 325 ml
midtail
3P
SERVICE PETIT DEJEUNER
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
7
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
186
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 12
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-31
AAF546511280159427
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 310 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Mug en porcelaine émaillée DIMA MAGHREB Supporters 325 ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, stable demand · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (231 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.87 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 19.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 108.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 47.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 310.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.7K |