Demand Forecast

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Valise rigide ABS Summer beige taille PM avec accessoires assortis
SKU · AAF5461780710035022

Valise rigide ABS Summer beige taille PM avec accessoires assortis

hero 1P BAGAGES
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▼ 63.6% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

70
≈ 8.5 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 132
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-27

AAF5461780710035022

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 222 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Valise rigide ABS Summer beige taille PM avec accessoires assortis · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -63.6% · on-hand 70 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: hero (224 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.05 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 11 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week3.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks16.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months50.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week10.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)58.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)221.5 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)3.9
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 29.1K