Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAF5461540710035022
Téléviseur LED 40’’ Full HD Smart G/TV S2T2 T40S25 – MGS
longtail
3P
TELEVISEUR
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▲ 60.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
43
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 1.7K
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAF5461540710035022
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 69 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Téléviseur LED 40’’ Full HD Smart G/TV S2T2 T40S25 – MGS · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending up +60.0% · on-hand 48 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (273 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.90 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 11.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 35.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 22.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 68.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 119.2K |