Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAF5455005140223295
AAF5455005140223295
midtail
3P
SERVICE PETIT DEJEUNER
Last 4 weeks demand
24
▲ 2300.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
38
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P)
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 7
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-11
AAF5455005140223295
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 108 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
AAF5455005140223295 · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 24 units, trending up +2300.0% · on-hand 38 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (147 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.20 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 24 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 2.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 14.1 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 5.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 20.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 107.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 747 |