Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAF5448701261039447
Set de 2 pièces : poêle 26 cm et crêpière 16 cm – Hascevher
hero
1P
CUISSON DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
42
▼ 36.4% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
345
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
345
≈ 38.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 63
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAF5448701261039447
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 61 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Set de 2 pièces : poêle 26 cm et crêpière 16 cm – Hascevher · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 42 units, trending down -36.4% · on-hand 347 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (182 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.80 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 42 units · prev 4w = 66 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 32.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 1.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 8.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 61.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.8K |