Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAF5436301190419888
Assiette à 3 Compartiments rosace ondulée - 25.6cm - Blanc & Doré
longtail
1P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
16
▲ 220.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
46
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
46
≈ 60.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 30
avg of last 20 sells · latest 2026-10-01
AAF5436301190419888
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-12 · Total forecast: 112 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Assiette à 3 Compartiments rosace ondulée - 25.6cm - Blanc & Doré · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 16 units, trending up +220.0% · on-hand 46 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (224 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.08 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 16 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 3.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 5.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 8.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 35.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 111.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.3K |