Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAF54331701230419696
Saladier en porcelaine – 20 cm – Motif herbier indigo
longtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE PETIT DEJEUNER
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▲ 33.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
65
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
24
≈ 9.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 9
avg of last 24 sells · latest 2026-07-24
AAF54331701230419696
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 20 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Saladier en porcelaine – 20 cm – Motif herbier indigo · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending up +33.3% · on-hand 24 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (168 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.77 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 8.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 0.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 2.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 20.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 0.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 182 |