Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAF5420940111040740
Lampe de Table Forme “I” 8x34 cm – Modèle DEA-JS-013 - Couleur aléatoire
midtail
1P
LUMINAIRE D'INTERIEUR
Last 4 weeks demand
25
≈ stable (4.2% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
14
≈ 4.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 63
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAF5420940111040740
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 178 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lampe de Table Forme “I” 8x34 cm – Modèle DEA-JS-013 - Couleur aléatoire · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 25 units, stable demand · on-hand 14 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (210 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.01 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 25 units · prev 4w = 24 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 8.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 25.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 55.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 16.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 71.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 178.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 11.2K |