Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAF5420282710081416
Coffre-fort à 2 clés – 4 kg – 3 à 8 codes – 31x20x20 cm
longtail
1P
SECURITE MAISON
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
9
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
8
≈ 8.6 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 378
avg of last 26 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AAF5420282710081416
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 55 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Coffre-fort à 2 clés – 4 kg – 3 à 8 codes – 31x20x20 cm · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 8 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (203 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.44 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 14.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 16.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 55.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 20.9K |