Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAF5418804100126590
Zentek Gel Appât Anti-Cafard 1,5 g x12 – Élimination Ciblée et Durable
midtail
3P
PRODUIT D'ENTRETIEN
Last 4 weeks demand
29
▼ 47.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
282
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 83
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAF5418804100126590
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 390 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Zentek Gel Appât Anti-Cafard 1,5 g x12 – Élimination Ciblée et Durable · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 29 units, trending down -47.3% · on-hand 290 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (91 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.67 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 29 units · prev 4w = 55 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 9.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 39.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 188.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 16.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 72.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 389.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 8.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 32.2K |