Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAF5414404160121883
Blender Taurus Lima 400 – 1.5L Puissant et Multifonction
longtail
3P
PREPARATION CULINAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▲ 85.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
117
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-14 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 229
avg of last 23 sells · latest 2026-10-09
AAF5414404160121883
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-12 · Total forecast: 50 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Blender Taurus Lima 400 – 1.5L Puissant et Multifonction · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending up +85.7% · on-hand 22 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (161 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.71 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 3.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 4.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 8.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 20.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 50.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 11.5K |