Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAF5400206150956482
AAF5400206150956482
new
3P
PRODUIT D'ENTRETIEN
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 81.8% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-14 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 20
avg of last 4 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAF5400206150956482
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-12 · Total forecast: 73 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
AAF5400206150956482 · in the new cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -81.8% · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: new (28 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.63 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 4.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 4.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 13.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 72.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.4K |