Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAF5400103050315693
brosse à dents électrique Vitality 300 enfant Spider-Man Oral-B- Motif spiderman
longtail
3P
SANTE - HYGIENE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
27
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-06-30
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-06-30 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 189
avg of last 8 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAF5400103050315693
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
brosse à dents électrique Vitality 300 enfant Spider-Man Oral-B- Motif spiderman · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 19 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (84 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.79 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |