Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAEFC8492310013635
Bouilloire Taurus 1500 W, 1,8L - 2 ans de garantie
hero
1P + 3P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
96
▲ 65.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
353
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P)
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 147
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-29
AAEFC8492310013635
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 939 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bouilloire Taurus 1500 W, 1,8L - 2 ans de garantie · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 96 units, trending up +65.5% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (343 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.23 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 96 units · prev 4w = 58 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 14.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 291.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 36.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 23.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 123.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 939.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 22.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 138.5K |