Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAEFC8492310013635
Bouilloire Taurus 1500 W, 1,8L - 2 ans de garantie
hero
1P + 3P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
36
▼ 14.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
215
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
76
≈ 4.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 161
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAEFC8492310013635
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 407 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bouilloire Taurus 1500 W, 1,8L - 2 ans de garantie · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 36 units, trending down -14.3% · on-hand 74 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (280 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.32 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 36 units · prev 4w = 42 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 17.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 62.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 213.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 26.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 102.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 407.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 10.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 65.7K |