Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAEFC8432310014639
Taurus-Bouilloire en inox SIDON 1500 W, 1,8L acier inoxydable - 2 ans de garantie
hero
1P + 3P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
36
▼ 23.4% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
446
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
324
≈ 38.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 124
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAEFC8432310014639
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 595 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Taurus-Bouilloire en inox SIDON 1500 W, 1,8L acier inoxydable - 2 ans de garantie · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 36 units, trending down -23.4% · on-hand 324 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (336 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.22 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 36 units · prev 4w = 47 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 14.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 169.1 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 40.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 19.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 118.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 595.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 16.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 73.8K |