Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAEFC8432310014639
Taurus-Bouilloire en inox SIDON 1500 W, 1,8L acier inoxydable - 2 ans de garantie
hero
1P + 3P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
15
▼ 51.6% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
271
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
123
≈ 15.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 138
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAEFC8432310014639
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 413 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Taurus-Bouilloire en inox SIDON 1500 W, 1,8L acier inoxydable - 2 ans de garantie · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 15 units, trending down -51.6% · on-hand 124 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (273 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.25 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 15 units · prev 4w = 31 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 7.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 35.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 172.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 15.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 77.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 412.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 56.7K |