Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAEFC52007201034088
AAEFC52007201034088
new
1P + 3P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
19
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
135
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-27
1P stock
31
≈ 6.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-27
Unit price
MAD 711
avg of last 19 sells · latest 2026-10-19
AAEFC52007201034088
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-19 · Total forecast: 229 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
AAEFC52007201034088 · in the new cohort · last 4 weeks 19 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 31 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: new (21 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.70 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 19 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 10.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 19.4 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 23.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 15.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 90.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 229.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 163.2K |