Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAEFC1402121212724
Toaster 2 fentes extra-larges 750W 7 niveaux de grillage - 2ans de garantie
midtail
1P + 3P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
14
▼ 17.6% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
13
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
2
≈ 0.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 158
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAEFC1402121212724
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 267 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Toaster 2 fentes extra-larges 750W 7 niveaux de grillage - 2ans de garantie · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 14 units, trending down -17.6% · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (161 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.62 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 14 units · prev 4w = 17 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 75.7 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 18.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 62.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 267.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 42.2K |