Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAEFC1402121212724
Toaster 2 fentes extra-larges 750W 7 niveaux de grillage - 2ans de garantie
midtail
1P + 3P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▼ 53.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
51
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
39
≈ 9.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 159
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
AAEFC1402121212724
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 147 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Toaster 2 fentes extra-larges 750W 7 niveaux de grillage - 2ans de garantie · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending down -53.3% · on-hand 39 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (98 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.68 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 15 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 17.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 66.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 147.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 23.3K |